Re: Super Frolic Buy (466 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: September 23, 2005 10:53AM
The thing thats notable about Super Frolic is that the horse looks to be a genuine tryer. The truly poor races involve switches to turf.
He may not care for off tracks either, but that sample is a little small to say with certainty.
Other than turf and off tracks, hes run remarkably consistent races and when he bounces, he doesnt bounce much at all. His usual "off" races are within a point or two with a couple that just make the 2 point "bounce" threshold.
You can see several lengths good for him off that last race in weight and likely trip. Its also quite possible this horse wants 10 marks and until the Pacific Classic he was not given a chance at it. A less sapping pace and the past performances lean positively for this horse to win this race.
Don't want to jinx him, but that last effort was in his best company ever and he ran hard and never gave up. Tgraph feels horses tend to run the same race when the figure is consistent, but a hard effort in the best company ever faced certainly could have this horse sitting upon fatigue issues. (In other words a buried good race and the off race is the next one to come) In opposition to that, he has a couple solid works since and his p.p.s dont show two straight dirt regressions. The horse tends to snap back X-O if you will.
The other issue is Perfect Dread of course. If he gets a clean trip, hes certainly run fast enough recently to be extremely tough here. He gets a couple lbs off and he likes it here.