Re: Super Frolic Buy (565 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: September 23, 2005 11:17AM
CTC,
"The other issue is Perfect Dread of course. If he gets a clean trip, hes certainly run fast enough recently to be extremely tough here. He gets a couple lbs off and he likes it here."
Perfect Drift "has had" some difficulty finding the winners circle even when he's been spotted properly or was in the perfect position to close down a tired front runner. Heck even Borrego got by him. Plus, last year he ran a somewhat sub par race in his BC "prep". I would not be shocked if that happens again tomorrow. He may be the deserving favorite tomorrow because he does seem to be rounding into his best form and he has put up consistently good figures against some of the very best horses of the last few years, but IMO he's almost certainly going to be overbet. The key question is how do you construct a bet because I think it's unlikely for him to fire a complete dud in this field.