Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (717 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 21, 2007 11:47PM
I really think the off odds on those horses will be substantially lower than what you are projecting. The alternative is that after Curlin, the second choice will be 8-1 plus.
Still finding the winner is what counts and odds aren't a factor in that. To my eye Circular Quay was second best at Churchill last and that could be the deciding factor. Still, hes had 2 winter breaks now and if he can find enough form to reverse that outcome it will be quite a feat. In his favor theres a whole lot coming in with very questionable foundation. Add Poly to the unraced equation and the outcome could be chaotic.
The head to head I'm interested in is Nobiz and Scat Daddy. They've run some very odd races and who can best the other in that confrontation may have a decent money chance.
Curlin and Circular Quay off tops. Half the field on vacation. Its gonna be interesting.