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Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (707 Views)
Posted by: jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: April 22, 2007 01:18AM

Ronwar,

Before I looked at the T-Graph numbers, I was inclined to like Great Hunter, as I believe the Bluegrass is a throwout and he did get cut off. However, after looking at his number power, he looks too slow. The paired up "4's" from this year are way too slow, as you probably need a "0" to win this year (just a guess obviously).

He had a "2" last year in the BC Juvenile, which is his fastest race, but nothing else looks fast enough.

That said, I will use the horse a little bit underneath for a couple reasons. I do like the breeding for one. The other is a personal belief of mine (not substantiated by any detailed study!!!). On a couple of the bigger days of racing in the last few years, (A Cup day and Derby day) the T-Graph numbers have seemed light for California shippers. There is probably an old thread here where I asked Jerry about it after the BC. The two regsions where I sometimes look twice at the Tgraph figures are fast numbers from the Midlantic region that don't hold up when the horses ship and slower numbers from California where the horses ship and run faster. A lot of people would point to the medication issue to explain that first aberation (It seems that Mr. Magoo oversees the medication of horses in the Midlantic region).

Anyway, not meant to be controversial, so I apologize Jerry, since you just welcomed me back!

Jim



Subject Written By Posted
TG's Comment on the Derby (1240 Views) jimbo66 04/21/2007 08:24PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (791 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/21/2007 09:19PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (740 Views) jimbo66 04/21/2007 10:30PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (717 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/21/2007 11:47PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (685 Views) richiebee 04/21/2007 10:36PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (745 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/21/2007 11:50PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (648 Views) miff 04/22/2007 10:50AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (628 Views) marcus 04/22/2007 11:45AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (631 Views) MO 04/22/2007 12:22PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (878 Views) MO 04/21/2007 09:59PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (688 Views) Uncle Buck 04/21/2007 10:15PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (680 Views) jimbo66 04/21/2007 10:25PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (613 Views) ronwar 04/22/2007 12:06AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (707 Views) jimbo66 04/22/2007 01:18AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (682 Views) Uncle Buck 04/22/2007 11:45AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (707 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/22/2007 11:49AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (643 Views) miff 04/22/2007 11:53AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (625 Views) Uncle Buck 04/22/2007 02:04PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (617 Views) spa 04/22/2007 03:37PM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (646 Views) MO 04/22/2007 09:02AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (672 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/22/2007 09:13AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (582 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/24/2007 12:16AM
Darwin (617 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/24/2007 07:13AM
Re: Darwin (600 Views) richiebee 04/24/2007 07:06PM
Re: Darwin (508 Views) elkurzhal 04/25/2007 12:37AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (608 Views) MO 04/24/2007 10:06AM
Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (744 Views) SoCalMan2 04/22/2007 07:20AM
Derby Data Mining (629 Views) BitPlayer 04/25/2007 05:38PM
Re: Derby Data Mining (603 Views) davidrex 04/26/2007 05:59PM


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