Re: Questions about Figures (540 Views)
Date: April 23, 2005 01:28PM
Jimbo,
I hinted several times right after the Blue Grass that it wasn't nearly as bad as some people thought. The 6F call of the race was actually quite fast relative to the final time of the race and the other two routes that day. I believe that the pace impacted the final time for several competitors. Other pace figure makers also have that pace fast.
My thinking is that Bandini ran quite well that day and High Limit more or less ran even better than he had in the Lousiana Derby (which makes perfect sense given his lightly raced career and 2nd race off a layoff pattern). (Of course you know I think he had an easy trip LA Derby day and didn't run nearly as well as some people thought).
I'm not going to get into a complicated anaysis of each horse's performance prior to and in the BG, but assuming TG broke that race out, IMHO they are building the effect of pace into the figure for the race. So it is representing the performance "for some of the horses" more accurately than a pure speed figure alone (like the Beyer figure which requires that you incorporate subjective opinions about the impact of pace on your own).
I guess we could discuss this endlessly, but I hope you and JB will just let my opinion stand and take it no further. My own opinion of the BG is that it was a very good prep for a few of those horses.
I was hoping that no one would catch that because it might have created some value for me based on the slow final time.
Post Edited (04-23-05 13:33)