Re: Questions about Figures (408 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 24, 2005 11:12AM
The problem is Bandini makes sense to most of those involved in this game. There is little figure wagering edge even if you give full faith and credit to a Neg. 3.1
You have a six length win. Pletcher Training. A FOY 2nd and A Bluegrass 1st. Even with a Zed this is the best horse Pletcher has brought to the Derby. (I'm not sure what Coin Silver's Number is yet).
I'm convinced however the only way to give Bandini the figure assigned is to do so upon theory and the moveable grid. I've seen far too many odd results at Keeneland to say with certainty the race can be scored as indicated. That said, I do like Bandini now, but its not on the basis of a -3.1
However, if it is a legitimate neg. 3.1 you have a 7 point top on three weeks rest. An interesting dilemma.
To my mind, if Bandini has a weakness it may be in the the closing ability. Its the last 8th in the Derby that the chinks in the armor may make themselves apparent. If he ran a legit -3.1 (and can repeat), you have less to worry about there. If he ran a little less than that it becomes an issue.
The above considerations apply similarly to Bellamy Road. Though I'm not sure how the results of the Lexington validates the Wood figure.
Post Edited (04-24-05 11:24)