Re: Questions about Figures (514 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: April 25, 2005 04:17PM
Jimbo-- no, Sort It Out won't be on a lot of tickets. That was not the best 7 figure purchase in history, but if Baffert keeps him in against those west coast horses he'll do okay.
Miff-- come on, you know better. I DID NOT use any of the rail horses in making the variant on BG day-- the whole point of marking a dead rail is that you notice they ran bad. Why would I use them, and bring the figures to them? Go look at the BG figures I posted here-- Mr Sword gets an "X", rest hold with each other.
And no, I don't assume horses pair their tops in any races, though it sure helps make numbers when some do. I do know that in percentage terms good 3yos are somewhere around 50% in any given start to at least pair their tops, and again, look at what happens with that race if you do it any other way-- you end up with 6 of 7 GI 3yo's running off races at the same time. Very unlikely, independent of the convenient pairs, and the relationship to the other routes on the card.
Now, if the gap between HL and CA is different-- Houston, we have a problem. Or at least a question...
TGJB