Re: Questions about Figures (513 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: April 25, 2005 03:53PM
Rich,
Makes sense but don't you think Noble Causeway belongs in the group with High Fly and High Limit. His top is 1 and change. He has developed a lot this year, but off the 5 weeks rest, he could be sitting on a move forward. His race chasing High Fly in the Florida Derby reminded me a lot of Real Quiet's race chasing Indian Charlie in the Santa Anita Derby a few years back.
NC is bred well, is moving forward, gets 5 weeks rest, has a derby winning trainer and a derby winning jockey.
This last point is not necessarily a fact, but notice how well Bellamy Road ran when he left Florida, how well Bandini ran when he left Florida. The Florida horses have been very good this year (antithesis of the California 3 year olds). To me, it makes High Fly and Noble Causeway playable in the 8-1 and 12-1 range, respectively.