Re: Travers (765 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: August 24, 2005 10:01AM
First of all, you will get better than 5-1 on Andormeda's Hero, if you want to bet him. Maybe 10-1, but not less than 8-1.
Class, as a "pace handicapper", I am surprised you would even suggest that something crazy will happen pace-wise in this race. The pace is very obvious in this race, barring stumbling starts. Bellamy will be on the lead, and loose. Flower Alley will be second. Reverberate maybe 3rd. Roman Ruler will be in the middle to back of the pack. Johnny V has to make the decision when to go get Bellamy Road. I would be surprised to see the 1/2 mile fraction any quicker than 47, assuming a normal track speed on Saturday.
I don't know about anybody else, but I for one am glad to see that Bellamy Road entered here. It makes the race tons more interesting. Before his entry, I think you were looking at 6-5 each on Flower Alley and Roman Ruler. Bellamy drives interest because there are many out there who still believe in him, based on the Wood, and will bet him here, thinking the Derby was the exception and not the norm. There are others who think that he was exposed in the Derby and he is more reputation than real horse. Plus the 112 day layoff into a 1 1/4 race is not ideal, at least to me.
Any thoughts out there as to who will go off favored? Who will be 2nd choice and who will be 3rd choice?
To me it is at least 90% that one of the big three wins here, Flower Alley, Roman Ruler or Bellamy Road.