Jerry,

I always knew you were a man of conviction. Unless you know more about this horses physical condition then me sitting here in NC, I agree with the analysis about running new tops fresh but none of those were at 10F. 10F is the big question mark off the layoff for me and he just might need one,while the other two are ready to run now (that we know). I do agree that Zito has them cranked earlier than he used to. Made a nice score with him last year with Birdstone on Bel day the Travers last year using that scenario.

What I don't know at this point in time how the odds will play out. If BR goes at 2-1 or better it may be the best bet in quite some time. Somehow I just see him getting bet down below that by the Big Boys and the 10F he might hit the wall late.

I guess you are suggesting that I reconsider my last post and bet Scenario 1!!

His form is unlike GZ with planned rest. He seems to be ouchy.

Thanks for the additive info. Will be simulcasting tomorrow.

Is the Pick 4 as chalky as it appears?

NC Tony

PS Will you be up there duing the last weekend?