Re: Travers (690 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: August 24, 2005 12:46PM
Based on the views on this board, I guess I have a shot at getting the 3-1 that I would like to get on Bellamy Road.
The Wood was NOT his only good race. His first race this year was as fast as anything that Roman Ruler or Flower Alley had run this year until the Jim Dandy and Haskell. (I have not seen those figures, but I assume they are in the negative nunmber range).
Bellamy Road didn't just beat the Wood field, he destroyed them. Scrappy T. came back and ran very well in two races after that. Yes, I know the saddle supposedly slipped. You couldn't see it, watching the replay, but some people want to attribute 15 lengths to it. This horse ran a very big race in the Wood, around two turns, showing no signs of distance limitations. I am not a pedigree expert, but I will take his pedigree over both Flower Alley (Distorted Humor on top) and Roman Ruler (Fu Peg on top), as far as ability to get 1 1/4. I know that RR has a brilliant pedigree, I just think that he won't want 1 1/4.
I agree that the 1 1/4 off a 112 day layoff is a tall order. Which is why I want 3-1. If he was fit coming into the race, I would take 3-2. He will be loose on the lead, saving ground, setting a reasonable pace. This horse has a beautiful effortless stride when he is right. He will be opening up on the field as they hit the far turn. After opening up 5 in the stretch, he will get leg weary late because of the layoff, and win by a diminishing length.
I just don't know who the horse is that will be getting close at the end.........