Re: Travers (600 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: August 24, 2005 10:03PM
Respectfully disagree.
I don't think they will make this horse the favorite off a 112 day layoff. Roman Ruler is the horse that looks most likely to be favored, IMHO.
Although I don't disagree that BR might not be 2-1. Outside the top three, nobody else takes much money. You might see all three of the big three around the 2-1 mark.
Class,
Those are very very interesting remarks from Bailey and Velasquez. Sounds like neither one of them thinks much of BR in this spot. Bailey's point about BR being pointed for the 7 furlong race until just recently could be very key and I didn't think about it when I posted my initial analysis. The horse may have too much speed in him if he was being pointed to sprint with Lost in the Fog. I wonder if Bailey has seen BR on the track and factored that into his comment about not thinking the horse will be fit. Normally I don't care what jockeys say but Bailey is the exception. Say what you want about whether he is riding as good as in the past, but he definitely classifies as a "cerebral jockey".
I think I am back to the drawing board on this race.
Waiting for Jerry to post figures and see if that sheds light.
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