Re: Travers (546 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: August 27, 2005 01:10PM
The more I look at this race the more I think the correct thing to do is pass it and enjoy it.
Where's the value?
There's usually a lot of value in Grade 1 races playing against horses that are favored despite a long layoff. However, this one is being trained by Nick Zito (who is obviously skilled at bringing them back) and is highly likely to get a very good pace scenario.
His major competitors, FA and RR, are both a least a little suspect at 10F.
RR has had hoof problems for awhile and IMO it's just a matter of time before Baffert works this horse into another setback and he often does with promising lightly raced horses (and probable rtirement).
Ashado threw in a clinker yesterday and even though TP's horses have been running very well for the last few days - Carninooch (big new top), Adieu (Graded Stakes win), Maddalena (good second after tough duel in Victory Ride Stakes) - her performance was hardly confidence inspiring.