Re: (605 Views)
Date: November 15, 2004 04:42PM
I think Jerry has made an excellent case that horses are getting faster. However, I think TG figures are getting faster faster than horses are actually improving.
I think this is due to methodology.
I think ignoring the negative impact of pace on the final time of some races plus giving out faster figures to horses that run wide on tracks where it's often the best place to be (or neutral at worst) has the long term impact of slowly inflating figures.
I base this opinion primarily by watching the main stakes horses and races, but I suspect it is true in general throughout the country.
IMO, there are sometimes figures given to horses that are inflated due to large margins that are the result of the negative impact of pace on some contenders. Those inflated figures then bias/influence the projections of future figures.
Post Edited (11-15-04 16:54)