Re: little hints (629 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: November 17, 2004 10:39AM
classhandicapper wrote:
> Chuckles,
>
> The difference is a little less than 4/5 of a second. However,
> if you throw out a few extreme cases like Sunday Silence and
> Smarty Jones on very sloppy tracks (I don't have all the track
> conditions handy right now to do an appropriate comparison) the
> difference narrows by about 1/5. It narrows further if you
> don't arbitrarily start and end at the exact years that help
> make your case. (data mining)
>
> I think there are really 2 issues here that keep getting mixed
> up as if they are black and white and they are "NOT".
>
> 1. Are horses getting faster?
>
> 2. Are they getting faster at the rate suggested by TG?
Jerry's right, the "real fast recently" phenomena goes back to about 2000. (Aptitude) Horses were on a gradual improve until that time and then Wazzap!!!!!!!!! Presto Chango. Anyone got any idead why?
By the way, CH, run the figures again from 1962-1978 and then 1979-Present. (Which is closer to Jerry's contention re: modern composition) Theres a distinct pattern in those finishing times and I didn't do the math to see it. I can see it at a glance. Jerry can too.
CtC
Post Edited (11-17-04 10:55)