Re: Questions about Figures (518 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: April 23, 2005 03:51PM
No argument? Not likely.
It has ALWAYS been true that the only way to measure track speed is by how fast the horses run over it. And the question is not whether a GI 3yo ran a clunker-- it's whether a GROUP of them did. Those kind of horses run a paired or new top at least half the time at this time in their life-- work out the percentage chance of 6 of 7 not doing so at the same time. When you make those figures 2 or more points off their tops the percentages get prohibitive, and that's not even taking into account the other races. Yes, you can cut it loose if there is a reason to do so-- but all logic says otherwise. Big negatives are a distraction, but that race is right.
TGJB