Re: Changing Track Speeds: A Derby Contender Case Study Perhaps (771 Views)
Posted by:
JimP (IP Logged)
Date: February 11, 2006 04:48PM
I can easily see how you gave the figures you did in the Sham. Those seem to be very much in line with an expectation from prior figures for the horses in that race. The figures for the Strub are more difficult for me to understand. In fact, it seems that if you added about 3 points to each of the figures in that race it would create a better fit based on expectations from prior performances. Obviously some of the horses at the rear of the field clearly X'ed, so I wouldn't base much on their performances. But for the horses at front and middle of the field there seems to be trend of moving forward with the numbers you assigned. But I'm not an expert at reading patterns and I admit that my analysis is based purely on a cursory look at the figures rather than a detailed analysis. But I think this race would be very instructive if you would give us a little more detail on why you assigned each of the figures that you did. If that isn't too much trouble for you and doesn't divulge any proprietary information that you would rather keep secret. Thanks in advance.