Re: Changing Track Speeds: A Derby Contender Case Study Perhaps (702 Views)
Posted by:
Delmar Deb (IP Logged)
Date: February 28, 2006 05:52PM
TGJB -
Can you tell us the TG numbers that Sayhellotolarry and Rockport Harbor ran on February 11th at Oaklawn, per Bobphilo's note below.
The 3 y.o. maiden, Sayhellotolarry, carried 121 lbs and ran every fraction faster than the 4 y.o. Rockport Harbor, who carried only 115 lbs, in the race immediately following. Yet Beyer gave Larry a speed figure of 89 and Rockport a 99.
Should I add Sayhellotolarry to my watch list or Rockport Harbor to my bet against list?
bobphilo Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Jerry - Here’s an even more dramatic example of
> track speed changing from race to race.
>
> Rockport Harbor won the G3 Essex Hcp in 1:47.68
> for the 1 1/16 miles.
>
> The race immediately before this, a Maiden Special
> Weights, was won by a 3YO named Sayhellotolarry in
> 1:47.42 for the same distance in similar front
> running fashion while setting faster early
> fractions.
>
> Either a) Rockport Harbor is a very poor graded
> stakes for older horses winner or
> b) Sayhellotlarry is suddenly a new Derby
> contender or,
> c) there was a dramatic change in track speed from
> one race to the next.
> What kind of maintenance did they perform to the
> track between these 2 races? I’d be interested in
> seeing what figures these 2 get relative to each
> other.
>
> Bob
>
>
Delmar Deb