Re: Changing Track Speeds: A Derby Contender Case Study Perhaps (678 Views)
Posted by:
JimP (IP Logged)
Date: February 13, 2006 01:56PM
TGJB, if you add 7 as you suggest, then the 1st and 3rd place horses would have paired their previous race (not an extraordinary outcome) , and the 2nd place horse would have regressed about 7 points ( a pretty large X). Except for the 7th place horse, those are the only ones with enough starts to make any sense out of "patterns'. I can't see any logical basis within this race for choosing between "as is' or "plus 7". I.E. I can't find the basis for an argument within this race to either accept or challenge how you figured it. But then I would have to say the same thing if you did just add 7 to all the figures. There's really not much data here. IMHO.