Re: Changing Track Speeds: A Derby Contender Case Study Perhaps (704 Views)
Posted by:
miff (IP Logged)
Date: February 13, 2006 01:59PM
Jim,
No, all pairs are not ugly. On the contrary, most pairs stack up very well. The term "ugly"(my description) relates to a group of races by a runner that come up the same on the sheets but defy racing logic when viewing them, taking into account all pertinents.I am now fairly certain that "ugly" pairs are the by product of the projection method and must be graded in the way they are but eyed with suspicion.
I firmly believe that a horses' performance on the track should STRICTLY be graded by what it does that day as opposed to what someone THINKS it should have done or NORMALLY does.Then to try to fit that square peg into the round hole is calamity in waiting.
If you are around the game and the animals themselves you will find an endless list of reasons why horses vary in their performances,sometimes widely,sometimes only marginally.