Re: ROTW---INDIANA DERBY (691 Views)
Date: October 06, 2003 02:49PM
>Feel free to post those opinions in advance, I don't think anyone here will kill your price.<
I can try that, but it will be difficult. I don't pick horses. I handicap races and then decide whether the odds are way out of line with my estimation of their chances of winning. So typically I don't know if I am going to bet a race until quite close to post time. That would make my task quite difficult since I am trying to get my bet in. :-)
What I can do very easily is make guesstimates about the probabable post time odds and let you know beforehand that I suspect a particlular horse will be very overbet or very underbet.
That's what I did with Grand Hombre - look at the beginning of this thread. I suspected he would be overrated because I did not think he was as fast as commonly thought around here. I also thought the outside post could/would further compromise his chances. I wound up not betting the race because I agreed with the general consensus that Wando wasn't all that good either. I didn't like anyone else much in terms of a positive opinion. I believe I was right about Grand Hombre being an underlay, it was simply unfortunate for me that I couldn't figure out a way to take advantage of it.
Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.