Re: ROTW (462 Views)
Posted by:
Mall (IP Logged)
Date: February 20, 2005 06:46PM
Funny, looking at variant adjusted pace figures leads me to believe that Max is the only horse who can stay with Don early, & he appears to be able to press a very fast early pace & still finish, while Don collapsed at the end of his last try at 7f. The race kind of reminds me of 12-1 Private Horde beating Lake's other unbeatable sprinter on a sloppy track at Sar 2 yrs ago. I also can't help but wonder if everyone is so focused on what Lake has done with Don that they're overlooking what Preciado has done with Max since he got the horse 3 starts ago. But the thing that really has me scratching my head is everyone saying that the race is not a good betting opportunity. I know it's Lake, but both of Don's big nos & his blistering fractions were earned on a fast inner dirt track, he wasn't able to handle the last sloppy track he raced on, this is probably not his best distance, & he's likely to go off around even money. Whoever you like, that sounds to me like the definition of a great betting opportunity.