Re: ROTW (441 Views)
Date: February 20, 2005 07:07PM
Max looks like the second fastest speed to me too. He has pressed fast fractions, but at longer distances (slower paces), not the type Don Six is able to put up. The problem with being second speed is that they usually get torched badly by the primary speed if they hook up.
For example:
If one horse can run 21.4 44.3 while racing well within myself and another can run 22.1 45.1 while racing well within himself, if the duel goes in 21.4 44.4, the speedier horse will probably go on to run his usual figure. The other horse will tire badly.
Second speed is usually a bad position to be in. If you duel you get torched and if you sit, you often don't have the closing punch needed to get up. (unless of course you are versatile)
I see the same 7F vulnerability in Don Six that you do. I just think that if Max tries running with him, he's probably committing suicide even if he gets Don Six beat too. I don't see Max even trying to duel with Don Six. IMO, it would be very foolish. I see him letting Don get loose, staying close, and then coming after him mid turn. IMO, that's his best chance.
If Don Six goes off at even money, I'm sure I'll find something to bet in there. :-)