Re: ROTW (525 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: February 21, 2005 01:52AM
A few comments on the rotw:
1. Michael, no way Don Six goes off at 2-1 to 3-1 range as you suggest. Too fast and too much hype by Lake. 3-2 Tops.
2. Great job by So. Cal. Great reading, as are all the ROTW's. As a gambler, I believe in "luck" and streaks though, and Unforgettable Max is up against it as the "pick" in the ROTW. No winners in the rOTW since Saratoga, which is 6 months ago. Some nice "seconds" or "thirds", but six months with no winners. I will try to help that trend by being very against "Unforgettable" in this spot. That will put two streaks on the line, my bad streak against the ROTW bad streak.
3. Don't see how Max can win. He presses don six and he gets cooked, he lets him alone and he tries to run him down is not his best style. I like Max in two turn races where he is the controlling speed. I hate him in this spot, for what its worth (not much).
4. Willing to take a stand against Don Six if he goes off at 3-2 or less, not based on "bounce" but based on 7 furlongs. think he is best at 6 and worth trying to beat as the favorite. I like SoCal's case against Saratoga County also, so I will try the "local" horse in Gators n Bears. not sure he is really local, but he is 2 for 2 over the track i believe and as opposed to Don Six, I like him at 7 furlongs. I respect the "number power" of Don Six and also the fact that Lake moves his horses up (for whatever reason), but I like to bet against horses running huge figures while loose on the lead at tracks favoring speed like the Aqueduct inner track. Especially when they leave those tracks for more neutral surfaces, like i believe laurel to be. Any guys that know laurel well out there care to comment on the surface, it would be appreciated.
If Gators goes off at 3-1, I will give him a shot.
Good luck
Jim