Re: ROTW (482 Views)
Date: February 21, 2005 10:48AM
Mall,
Here's some of the pace figures I am using:
Don Six's last 2 outs:
120 P - 118 F 6F
103 P - 109 F 6F
He also has some extremely quick figures in back races where he tired badly before Lake got him.
UM:
Cigar: 99 P - 99 F (note: the pace figure here is measleading because it is the 4F call. The 1st quarter was slow but they cooked in the 2nd quarter. That was a much tougher pace than it looks) 1M
Tom Fool: 112P - 105F 7F
Note: Pace figures do not tell you how fast a horse ran in the early part of the race when you are comparing different distances.
They tell you how fast a horse ran in the early part of the race relative to the norm for that distance.
In addition, raw fractions can be very misleading when comparing different distances because of the length of straightaways in the early part of a race and other factors.
A 100 pace figure at 6 furlongs is actually running faster than a 100 at 8 furlongs.
The pace figures aren't attempting to determine who is faster. They are attempting to determine who ran the better race.
However, if a horse has faster pace figures at a shorter distance, he is also obviously by definition the faster horse early.
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