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Re: ROTW (450 Views)
Posted by: Even for Life (IP Logged)
Date: February 21, 2005 01:10PM

Track is listed as fast at Laurel. We had rain for about 3 hours last night,but no big deal after a bit of a dry spell.

I enjoyed the ROTW Analysis. Well done and I can always learn from others perspective.

I like Unforgettable Max at 5-1 or better. I can see Don Six getting enough pace pressure from Taste of Paradise (SCal speed, going 7f, and running to pace of the O'brien, where he dueled Pico Central in 43.4) and Private Horde, who has been close to the lead with fast fractions his last few.

Will Don Six clear these, and can he get 7 furlongs? Obviously how you answer this is how you will bet. I think Max #'s are strong enough (improved to the -1 as a new top, then regressed to the 2 after coming back on three weeks rest, with tough internal fractions in the Cigar against Pico Central. Now back after little less then 3 months race, with a trainer that is good off a short layoff). The problem is he can improve off the -1, and still not be fast enough against this crew. I can envision him sitting off a pace that is more contested than some would think, and running strong through the lane. As always the odds/value will dictate the bet. I don't think Don Six and the risk/reward profile is worth the 6-5 or less that will probably be available.

I also think Max actually has the running style for an extended sprint (7F) horse. Cutting back from the mile race with some decent works (stong 58 2/5 B for Pha--although I prefer to see him working more then every 15 days) and the ability to be on near the lead. Plus he has been facing some strong competition--Ghostzapper, Midas Eyes, and Pico Central).

Speaking of the development of Saratoga County -- who I don't like (I don't think he is fast enough for this group, even off the breakthrough figure in his last), did you catch the reason for his improvement as told via the front page story of in DRF:

"Things began to turn around last fall when George Weaver decided to change the colt's training methods. Instead of working him in company where he would lay on horses and get lazy in the stretch, Weaver put blinkers on Saratoga County and had the rider get after him. Five of his last workouts have been bullets".

This made some sense to me; Weaver then added the brillant "It seems to have helped, but I also think he's just doing better"...



Even for Life



Subject Written By Posted
ROTW (738 Views) TGJB 02/18/2005 05:57PM
Re: ROTW (482 Views) 02/20/2005 10:23AM
Re: ROTW (511 Views) 02/20/2005 11:44AM
Re: ROTW (430 Views) Mall 02/20/2005 01:38PM
Re: ROTW (435 Views) 02/20/2005 03:42PM
Re: ROTW (462 Views) Mall 02/20/2005 06:46PM
Re: ROTW (441 Views) 02/20/2005 07:07PM
Re: ROTW (452 Views) Mall 02/20/2005 08:39PM
Problematic Max (534 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 02/20/2005 09:13PM
Re: ROTW (416 Views) 02/21/2005 10:14AM
Re: ROTW (483 Views) 02/21/2005 10:48AM
Re: ROTW (517 Views) spa 02/21/2005 12:25PM
Re: ROTW (450 Views) Even for Life 02/21/2005 01:10PM
Re: ROTW and One v. Two Turns (422 Views) BitPlayer 02/21/2005 11:58AM
Re: ROTW and One v. Two Turns (451 Views) SoCalMan2 02/21/2005 01:41PM
Re: ROTW and One v. Two Turns (427 Views) BitPlayer 02/21/2005 11:05PM
Re: ROTW and One v. Two Turns (421 Views) 02/21/2005 02:23PM
Re: ROTW and One v. Two Turns (475 Views) 4singles2all 02/21/2005 02:52PM
Re: ROTW and One v. Two Turns (475 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 02/21/2005 03:02PM
Re: ROTW (452 Views) Michael D. 02/20/2005 08:57PM
Re: ROTW (525 Views) jimbo66 02/21/2005 01:52AM
Re: ROTW (370 Views) Mall 02/21/2005 07:29AM
Re: ROTW (468 Views) SoCalMan2 02/21/2005 09:36AM
Re: ROTW (483 Views) TGJB 02/21/2005 01:17PM
Re: ROTW (414 Views) 02/21/2005 02:13PM
Re: ROTW (520 Views) 02/21/2005 02:28PM
Re: ROTW (468 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 02/21/2005 02:39PM
Re: ROTW (522 Views) Michael D. 02/21/2005 05:46PM
Re: ROTW (508 Views) 02/21/2005 06:17PM
Re: ROTW (420 Views) Michael D. 02/21/2005 06:49PM
Re: ROTW (410 Views) 02/21/2005 06:58PM
Re: ROTW (527 Views) JohnTChance 02/21/2005 07:04PM
Re: ROTW (451 Views) 02/22/2005 12:03PM
SoCalMan2nd (488 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 02/21/2005 07:48PM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (461 Views) jimbo66 02/22/2005 01:15AM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (438 Views) msola1 02/22/2005 07:25AM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (383 Views) Michael D. 02/22/2005 11:20AM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (486 Views) 02/22/2005 01:55PM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (466 Views) jimbo66 02/22/2005 05:29PM
To CH (463 Views) jimbo66 02/22/2005 05:31PM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (439 Views) 02/23/2005 11:58AM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (428 Views) gvido 02/23/2005 12:46PM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (451 Views) jbelfior 02/23/2005 02:23PM
Re: SoCalMan2nd (410 Views) 02/22/2005 02:55PM
Re: ROTW (430 Views) 02/21/2005 04:38PM
Re: ROTW (438 Views) 02/21/2005 04:50PM
Re: ROTW (487 Views) spa 02/20/2005 12:46PM
Re: ROTW (402 Views) TGJB 02/20/2005 01:53PM
Re: ROTW (524 Views) derby1592 02/20/2005 02:22PM
Re: ROTW (469 Views) mholbert 02/20/2005 04:57PM
Re: ROTW (429 Views) jbelfior 02/23/2005 08:05AM
Re: ROTW (514 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 02/23/2005 11:04AM
Re: ROTW (421 Views) jbelfior 02/23/2005 11:31AM


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