Re: ROTW (452 Views)
Posted by:
Mall (IP Logged)
Date: February 20, 2005 08:39PM
Not sure I'd agree with the "usually get torched" characterization, as the research I've seen, & my personal experience, tends to suggest just the opposite. I understand using an example to make a point, but what I was suggesting when I referenced variant adjusted pace figures was that Max's in the longer races are not that much different than Don's in the shorter races, so I think it's possible that Max will be racing well within himself, in 2nd position, where he might get 1st jump & be able to take advantage of his superior ability to close the deal-at this distance. The problem is that gnb won't be that far behind, SC has a middle move which might put him in the mix at the critical stage of the race, PH moves up in the slop, etc. The more I look, the more I'm thinking that maybe the way to play the race is to structure a series of bets based on Don finishing no better than 3rd, & hope he runs out. A very interesting race, no matter how it turns out.
Good Luck.