Re: Saratoga Morning Line (1340 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: August 03, 2016 10:00AM
CA12891289,
Interesting handle....
Let's agree to disagree on the 12 horse (for now), I am as SURE AS I CAN BE that he won't be 12-1. The 67 beyer figures in Maiden special and Maiden 75 are top Beyer figures in the race and this is a maiden 25k. Jason Servis is hot and Irad is running away with the meet. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that this horse will take money.
do I think he is the most likely winner? No, at best 3rd most likely winner behind the 4 and 10. But he will take money. And having him a longer ML than the 7 and the same ML as the 5 and 8 is just doing a POOR job.
As for the impact on horizontal wagers, it will impact them. I didn't say it had to impact mine personally, or yours, for that matter. Yes, a smart player, who thinks they see something wrong, in theory can take advantage of it in a multi-race bet. But that is NOT WHAT THE MORNING LINE MAKER is supposed to be doing. How about he/she does his job right and let the chips fall as they may.
He has ANOTHER egregious mistake today in the 6th. No way the 12 horse, Honorable Daniel, coming out of 40k N/W2 claimers, goes off a shorter price than the 8, Ross J Dawg, coming out of starter allowance races .
Jim