Re: Saratoga Morning Line (954 Views)
Posted by:
mjellish (IP Logged)
Date: August 04, 2016 09:00PM
Just wanna throw in my two cents here.
Point 1: The job of the person who makes the morning line is to set the line in accordance of how they think the public will bet the race. That's it. It has nothing to do, or at least it shouldn't, with who they think will win the race.
Point 2: The job of the handicapper is to try to figure out our own line of who will most likely hit the board so we can decide if it offers value enough to bet our money to hopefully cash a ticket. This is irrespective of whatever the morning line person says.
Points number one and two have nothing to do with each other. A lot of the discussion points on this thread have been good points, but not relevant to the topic at hand. It's like someone saying the track announcer isn't calling the races well and then someone else saying I don't care because she is hot and someone else saying I don't listen to her anyway and then we argue about whether or not she is hot or should be listened to.
The point was made that the morning line at Saratoga has been when way off. And that point is dead nuts right IMO, usually blatantly so at least once or twice per day. The guy isn't performing well at his job. Maybe he'll get it, maybe he won't.