Re: Saratoga Morning Line (943 Views)
Posted by:
Mathcapper (IP Logged)
Date: August 05, 2016 08:41PM
msola1 Wrote:
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> Can anyone give me a methodology for determining
> that a horse's chances to win a race are 8% (or
> any other percent)?
>
> If you think that's a dumb question, please don't
> respond. Just think it. But I'd really like to
> know how to go about making the actual line you
> speak of.
msola1 - if you've never made your own line before, suggest checking out Barry Meadows' [u]Money Secrets at the Racetrack[/u] (pp.20-28).
There's also a Morning Line Tool that used to be on Del Mar's website but that you can now find at the link below that's useful if you're not comfortable with spreadsheets.
Ultimately, you of course have to come up with your own probability line (fair odds), whether you do it subjectively yourself (which is what most players do) or write some kind of factor-based algorithm (computer guys).
[url=http://www.horseracinggold.com/MorningLineTool.htm]Morning Line Tool[/url]
Rocky R.