Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (538 Views)
Posted by:
HP (IP Logged)
Date: April 13, 2005 09:04AM
"Speed is the universal bias." -- Some Guy Somewhere
The track "may have been speed favoring." It "didn't hurt to be on the lead." It "certainly didn't hurt to be near the pace that day."
Couldn't you say this about almost any track on any day of the week? How many days do you look at a track and say, "wow, the closers really have the edge out there today." How can you handicap this way? Maybe there was a bias. Maybe there wasn't. My head's going to explode.
When the ROTW is at Turfway, that track "may be speed favoring." Gulfstream "may be inside speed favoring." Fair Grounds on Louisiana Derby Day was "speed favoring." Bellamy Road won and "Aqueduct was probably favoring speed."
Hey, I've heard Keeneland favors speed a little too! Churchill Downs is not a track that I've heard this about (as much) but the speed has not exactly done poorly in the Derby the last few years either.
A real bias is pretty rare, but based on what I read from some posters on this board it's happening every week and explains almost everything. Maybe.
After this week it will be the same thing -- "the track favored speed." "Keeneland is a notorious speed favoring track." Why bother watching the race? You might as well start putting those posts up now...because I know they'll be up there on Sunday regardless of the result.
HP