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Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (460 Views)
Posted by: HP (IP Logged)
Date: April 13, 2005 11:56AM

1. "All I try to do is get the highest possible price on horses with few or no "possible" negatives and as many "possible positive" as possible."

2. "I'm looking for value and a lot of time that means playing horses with only a 15%-20% chance of winning that I know aren't the best horse in the race."

These two statements taken together make absolutely no sense. How could horses with "few or no negatives and a lot of possible positives" have only a 15-20% chance of winning? I mean it makes NO SENSE, Class.

This is just one example. Here's another.

"I don't bet very often even when I identify the most likely winner. It takes a good horse horse at a good price (like Wildcat Heir that I played and spoke about here) to get me to the windows. I also don't cash a very high percentage because I'm not looking for locks."

If you don't bet very often and you don't cash a very high percentage you must hit BOMBS every time you hit to turn an annual profit. What's your average mutuel payoff? Do you play exotics? I would guess you don't play too many exotics because picking ONE horse to play must be very hard for you, let alone two or three.

I'd love to hear how you do this. Judging by this last paragraph, you must hit 10-1 to 20-1 shots pretty steady. If you can do this, why don't you share your methods, specifically, instead of posting these inane generalities?

This reminds me of another guy who used to post here all the time and he was another wizard who would explain that he "didn't want to hurt his price" and "he didn't have to give picks." So he had A LOT of ideas that had nothing to do with TG and he never demonstrated whether or not they worked. He never laid out a race or said what he thought would happen before the fact either. You were just supposed to take it on faith that he was a winner. I don't buy it. Show me! If I can do it, so can you. If you can't, I think that says everything anyone needs to know about your abilities.

I think Davidrex is right.

HP



Subject Written By Posted
Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (815 Views) derby1592 04/11/2005 04:13PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (578 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 04:19PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (445 Views) 04/11/2005 04:40PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (433 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 04:48PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (481 Views) 04/11/2005 04:52PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (565 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/11/2005 04:59PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (581 Views) Michael D. 04/11/2005 05:37PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (523 Views) TGJB 04/11/2005 05:59PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (475 Views) Michael D. 04/11/2005 06:03PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (571 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 06:08PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (467 Views) Michael D. 04/11/2005 06:16PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (605 Views) TGJB 04/11/2005 06:26PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (432 Views) beyerguy 04/11/2005 06:31PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (467 Views) 04/11/2005 06:33PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (456 Views) Silver Charm 04/11/2005 08:18PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (501 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/12/2005 07:57AM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (402 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/11/2005 06:24PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (513 Views) derby1592 04/11/2005 09:05PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (493 Views) 04/12/2005 08:40AM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (491 Views) jimbo66 04/12/2005 10:46AM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (517 Views) HP 04/12/2005 11:02AM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (739 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/12/2005 11:29AM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (568 Views) jimbo66 04/12/2005 02:42PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (503 Views) 04/12/2005 11:43AM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (480 Views) jbelfior 04/12/2005 11:58AM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (494 Views) 04/12/2005 12:03PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (467 Views) jbelfior 04/12/2005 01:26PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (506 Views) 04/12/2005 02:15PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (459 Views) TGJB 04/12/2005 01:53PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (477 Views) jimbo66 04/12/2005 03:01PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (485 Views) jbelfior 04/12/2005 03:36PM
JB- Who's the 4th? (461 Views) jimbo66 04/12/2005 03:15PM
Re: JB- Who's the 4th? (564 Views) TGJB 04/12/2005 03:28PM
Re: JB- Who's the 4th? (553 Views) HP 04/12/2005 04:01PM
Re: JB- Who's the 4th? (491 Views) jimbo66 04/12/2005 04:10PM
Re: JB- Who's the 4th? (481 Views) miff 04/12/2005 04:19PM
Re: JB- Who's the 4th? (431 Views) 04/12/2005 04:33PM
Re: JB- Who's the 4th? (468 Views) miff 04/12/2005 04:42PM
Re: JB- Who's the 4th? (483 Views) richiebee 04/12/2005 05:11PM
My Closing Argument on the BG (485 Views) derby1592 04/12/2005 05:11PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (480 Views) miff 04/12/2005 05:30PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (515 Views) big18741 04/12/2005 05:43PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (454 Views) derby1592 04/12/2005 06:21PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (446 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/12/2005 10:21PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (441 Views) 04/12/2005 05:59PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (515 Views) Bally Ache 04/12/2005 06:58PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (473 Views) big18741 04/12/2005 08:24PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (427 Views) big18741 04/12/2005 08:41PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (455 Views) Michael D. 04/12/2005 08:53PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (421 Views) 04/12/2005 10:26PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (482 Views) Michael D. 04/12/2005 11:53PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (539 Views) HP 04/13/2005 09:04AM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (423 Views) 04/13/2005 10:01AM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (591 Views) HP 04/13/2005 10:31AM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (626 Views) 04/13/2005 11:22AM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (449 Views) big ant 04/13/2005 09:34PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (520 Views) jbelfior 04/13/2005 09:16AM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (528 Views) davidrex 04/13/2005 11:28AM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (460 Views) HP 04/13/2005 11:56AM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (456 Views) 04/13/2005 12:49PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (475 Views) HP 04/13/2005 01:16PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (462 Views) 04/13/2005 01:43PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (500 Views) davidrex 04/13/2005 03:55PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (474 Views) 04/13/2005 04:02PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (589 Views) 04/13/2005 04:23PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (475 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/13/2005 01:25PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (488 Views) jbelfior 04/13/2005 01:56PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (540 Views) HP 04/13/2005 02:40PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (462 Views) 04/13/2005 03:07PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (478 Views) HP 04/13/2005 03:38PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (479 Views) jbelfior 04/13/2005 03:49PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (449 Views) HP 04/13/2005 04:00PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (478 Views) HP 04/13/2005 04:09PM
Einstein (479 Views) beyerguy 04/13/2005 04:13PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (467 Views) 04/13/2005 03:55PM
Re: My Closing Argument on the BG (513 Views) davidrex 04/13/2005 03:59PM
Einstein (645 Views) beyerguy 04/13/2005 04:02PM
Re: Einstein (574 Views) HP 04/13/2005 04:13PM
Re: Einstein (484 Views) beyerguy 04/13/2005 04:20PM
Re: Einstein (475 Views) HP 04/13/2005 04:32PM
Re: Einstein (549 Views) beyerguy 04/13/2005 04:42PM
Re: Einstein (451 Views) TGJB 04/13/2005 04:44PM
Re: Einstein (567 Views) 04/13/2005 05:19PM
Re: Einstein (471 Views) TGJB 04/13/2005 07:11PM
Re: Einstein (581 Views) HP 04/13/2005 09:48PM
Re: Einstein (518 Views) beyerguy 04/14/2005 02:54AM
Re: Einstein (487 Views) HP 04/14/2005 07:45AM
Re: Einstein (545 Views) beyerguy 04/14/2005 08:01AM
Re: Einstein (461 Views) HP 04/14/2005 08:12AM
Re: Einstein (490 Views) beyerguy 04/14/2005 08:19AM
Re: Einstein (553 Views) HP 04/14/2005 08:48AM
Re: Einstein (472 Views) 04/14/2005 09:03AM
Re: Einstein (455 Views) HP 04/14/2005 09:23AM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (525 Views) jbelfior 04/11/2005 04:23PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (603 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/11/2005 04:52PM
Re: Going Wild with a Derby Rabbit? (437 Views) BitPlayer 04/11/2005 04:32PM


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